Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/03/26


Monday 30 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.6% -2.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.5% -0.4%
Money Supply M4   -0.1% 0.6%
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 5.0 3.9 4.9
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 98.3 96.8 96.6
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -16.3 -16.3 -16.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.36 -0.27
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -7.1 -8.0 -7.0
CPI Final Month on Month   0.2% 1.1% 1.1%

Tuesday 31 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.7% 2.7% 2.6%
Industrial Production Prelim   4.3% -2.1% -2.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.8% 0.8% -0.2%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.0 50.1 50.4
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.2% -0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 1.0% 0.8% 2.2%
Current Account Current Account Chart -12.067Bln GB -23.400Bln GB -18.392Bln GB
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.2% 1.6% +0.7%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% -0.1% 0.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% -0.2%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 1k 2k 0k
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.0% +0.1%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 91.2 88.0 91.8

Wednesday 01 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 34 33 36
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 15 16 17
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.6
PMI Manufacturing   50.6 50.9 51.3
PMI Manufacturing   50.2 50.2 50.0
PMI Manufacturing   51.7 51.7 52.2
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.4 51.6
Unemployment Rate   5.1% 5.3% 5.3%
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.4 51.0
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.1% 6.1% 6.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 63k 40k
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.0% 0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month   -0.2% 0.5%
PMI Manufacturing   51.0
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1%
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.4 52.5
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   6.926Mln 0.814Mln

Thursday 02 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.30%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.60%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -54.5Bln US -61.0Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.65Bln CA -2.25Bln CA

Friday 03 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.5% 0.0%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart -92k 60k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.4% 4.4%

Monday 06 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 63.0
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 58.6
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.1 55.0
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 59.9
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 51.8

Tuesday 07 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   52.3
PMI Services   48.3
PMI Services   51.2
PMI Services   50.1
PMI Composite   50.5
PMI Services   51.2
Durable Goods   0.0%

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