Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/03/26
Monday 30 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.6% | -2.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.5% | -0.4% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | -0.1% | 0.6% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Services Sentiment |
|
5.0 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
98.3 | 96.8 | 96.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-16.3 | -16.3 | -16.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.36 | -0.27 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-7.1 | -8.0 | -7.0 |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
Tuesday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 4.3% | -2.1% | -2.1% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 0.8% | -0.2% |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.0 | 50.1 | 50.4 |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.2% | -0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-12.067Bln GB | -23.400Bln GB | -18.392Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 1.6% | +0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | 0.9% |
| 07:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.5% | -0.2% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
1k | 2k | 0k |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91.2 | 88.0 | 91.8 |
Wednesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
34 | 33 | 36 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
15 | 16 | 17 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.6 | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.6 | 50.9 | 51.3 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.2 | 50.2 | 50.0 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.7 | 51.7 | 52.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
63k | 40k | 62k |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | -0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.0 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.4 | 52.5 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.926Mln | 0.814Mln |
Thursday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.30% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.60% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-54.5Bln US | -61.0Bln US | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.65Bln CA | -2.25Bln CA |
Friday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.0% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
-92k | 60k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.4% | 4.4% |
Monday 06 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
63.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
58.6 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
56.1 | 55.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
59.9 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
51.8 |
Tuesday 07 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.3 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.3 | |||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 51.2 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.1 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.5 | |||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 51.2 | |||
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 0.0% |
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